After two terrible polls (here and here), David Cameron really needs to step up his game before the impatient Tories stab him in the back just like they did to Iain Duncan Smith.
The Tories might big up recent victories in local elections, but these were too small scale, and far too local, to really extrapolate any future general election results from.
And the Tories still have problems being "on message". Whilst David Cameron has called for a snap election, his leiutenants are saying Gordon Brown would be taking a foolish risk with possible electoral fraud if he called an early election. As Gordon Brown has not called a snap election (yet) does this not mean that David Cameron (and I admit Sir Ming) is the one pushing for a flawed election?
As the first policy proposals begin to seep out pre conference we can see the same old Tory policies coming up... two parents good, one parent bad (over their benefits policy, or as I like to call it "Social Engineering").
And rather than tackle the underlying problems of the housing market (too few homes, too many people, population drift from north to south, greed etc. etc.) they propose getting rid of the stamp duty for first time buyers. Yeah... that'll help. NOT. Here David Cameron is going on about his environmental credentials, yet he ignores the greatest risk to our environment in the south east... vast swathes of new homes.
The Tories are all talk and no action... let's not rock the boat by proposing real solutions to overcrowding in the south east and the environmental disaster it is creating. Instead let's tax some uncontroversial things (flights) and let the rape of our countryside continue.
Same old Tories. I never, ever, thought I'd actually say this but... William Hague is the best Tory leader since Margaret Thatcher. They were foolish to let him go.